Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 10.571081 12.076858 13.729349 15.678798 17.917604 20.410501 23.400037
2025-12-14 8.457889 10.408347 12.718060 15.660184 19.316241 23.720543 29.444956
2025-12-21 7.163598 9.289320 11.945434 15.518220 20.214819 26.200840 34.445878
2025-12-28 6.508784 8.814174 11.826019 16.065458 21.906811 29.712786 41.003876
2026-01-04 5.948637 8.363485 11.642481 16.443805 23.336444 32.936838 47.433582
2026-01-11 5.544576 8.062280 11.601616 16.971960 24.972869 36.543450 54.712351
2026-01-18 4.945319 7.409076 10.981051 16.575696 25.191803 38.078544 59.038543
2026-01-25 4.471958 6.887441 10.490743 16.303019 25.534442 39.781182 63.727224
2026-02-01 4.069571 6.430816 10.048041 16.045354 25.849361 41.431182 68.443125
2026-02-08 3.717966 6.018330 9.631200 15.778061 26.103221 42.975021 73.090995
2026-02-15 3.409641 5.645962 9.241841 15.511174 26.316702 44.444876 77.716803
2026-02-22 3.314812 5.614752 9.400885 16.165492 28.129724 48.740522 87.644885
2026-03-01 3.145902 5.447115 9.322813 16.414382 29.276755 52.015447 96.131210
2026-03-08 2.945868 5.208285 9.102142 16.390276 29.930301 54.465583 103.334448
2026-03-15 2.746050 4.952202 8.828311 16.241616 30.333329 56.478460 109.881632
2026-03-22 2.672477 4.917036 8.943717 16.815409 32.130445 61.235725 122.230131
2026-03-29 2.578440 4.835571 8.966255 17.212141 33.616712 65.519435 134.046929
2026-04-05 2.511478 4.798952 9.067645 17.765989 35.453933 70.641977 148.089620
2026-04-12 2.328060 4.523886 8.694069 17.350445 35.304274 71.760931 153.788949
2026-04-19 2.175727 4.297904 8.397963 17.064511 35.391191 73.361862 160.669950
2026-04-26 2.037673 4.089857 8.121283 16.794328 35.484089 74.974715 167.722183
2026-05-03 1.909529 3.892306 7.850812 16.514058 35.528417 76.480351 174.668536
2026-05-10 1.791368 3.706621 7.590804 16.234221 35.547274 77.925588 181.607203